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Lone Wolf
survival
Wolves are inherently social animals
Like humans, wolves have complex social structures that enable them to hunt, reproduce, and survive
Survival depends on strength in numbers
Every so often, a wolf is driven from the pack and forced to survive on its own; a tale as old as time
The lone wolf that survives tends to be much more aggressive and stronger than a wolf belonging to a pack
Today we want to scope out some lone wolf investors - or solo capitalists - that are making a killing
1. Elad Gil
Elad Gil is one of the largest solo VCs of all time
His academic and professional background includes an MIT PhD, McKinsey, Google, and Twitter to name a few
Gil got his first break after selling his startup, MixerLabs, to Twitter. The acquisition was for an undisclosed amount in 2009, so likely not a life-changing win
But at Twitter, he worked his way up to VP of Corporate Strategy before becoming a co-founder / CEO at Color Genomics
Along the journey, Gil started putting money to work as an angel investor because so many people were looking for his perspective on deals
Investment Track Record:
Airbnb
Coinbase
Flexport
Gitlab
Stripe
Pinterest
Instacart
To date, this lone wolf has taken a bite out of more than 30 unicorns
Last December, it was reported that he raised $1.1B from 54 investors for his third solo fund
The new raise brought Gil’s total to $2B+ raised in the past five years
An interesting aspect about his investment strategy is how he prioritizes product-market fit over the founders
Product-market fit: being in a good market with a product that can satisfy that market
first coined by Benchmark Capital founder Andy Rachleff
I’ve seen really great people get absolutely crushed by bad markets. And I’ve seen pretty mediocre people do extremely well in a very good market. And so I think the product market matters most for whether a company will be successful or not. That said, obviously founders are incredibly important
Gil’s last raise brought in institutional investors like Harvard’s endowment fund
On the flip side, Elad has experience playing the LP role as well
Alana Goyal is a member of this year’s Forbes 30 under 30 class, recognized for founding Basecase Capital
According to Forbes, Goyal reached out to Gil after he invested in her husband’s company. She wanted advice on how to get into VC
Gil decided to give her $600K of his own money so that she could learn how to angel invest
After less than a year of research and investing, she quit her product manager job to launch Basecase Capital in 2021. Currently has $99M AUM
2. Josh Tarasoff
Josh worked at Goldman Sachs after graduating with a Philosophy degree from Duke in 2001. After reading a book on value investing, he decided to attend Columbia Business School. It was at Columbia that he began investing out of his own account and doing deep research on public companies
He went on to bootstrap an investing firm named Greenlea Lane Capital post-graduation.
Josh moved into a cheap apartment with some friends, raised a $2.3M from friends and family, and began his journey as a solo investor trying to beat the market.
This was 2006.
Today, Tarasoff’s Greenlea Lane has grown to $450M AUM
17%+ IRR net of fees
No additional investment team members
No formal office
No marketing
What I got most right was not changing my mindset just because I started managing other people’s capital. During business school, I was already investing my own money in my spare time, and it was just part of my life. Then when I brought in limited partners, nothing really changed.
As he grew, a focus on “radical simplicity” kept him grounded. Tarasoff believed that taking on additional expenses due to convention was a mistake. He watched other managers hire analysts, take on large office spaces, and increase their costs of doing business.
In essays on investing found on his site, Josh lays out principles that drive his investing career, and by extension, his life
Long-termism: he noticed that investors are often under time pressure to come up with new ideas; a pressure that leads to countless mistakes. So he took a contrarian approach: treat each investment as an infinite hold. This framework introduced an incredibly high barrier for stock selection and also reduced time pressure / unnecessary error
Implicit Conviction: explicit conviction is the quantitative vector of conviction. i.e. this company can acquire this % of the market. implicit conviction is a more qualitative type. i.e. trust in the company’s mission and management. Josh emphasizes the need to balance explicit-implicit conviction tension as a long term investor
Endgame: think about how the world will look 10 years from now and where you have the most conviction. Example: Years ago, Tarasoff believed that online retail will eventually take over offline retail, and the online retail space will be much less fragmented, allowing a few major players to reap in large profits. Today, one of his most notable winners is Amazon.
Greenlea Lane’s portfolio has some recognizable names:
Amazon
Berkshire Hathaway
Brookfield Corp
Google
Market Group
Microsoft
Both of these individuals offer invaluable insight on the importance of starting small and embracing uncertainty.
Perhaps the next solo stepper is reading this now
Headlines
Brazilians flock to Bluesky after country bans Elon Musk’s X. FT article here
Elliott now owns enough of Southwest Airlines to call special meeting. Reuters article here
SparkLabs closes $50M fund to back AI-startups. TechCrunch article here
College basketball programs are hiring general managers. CBS Sports article here
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